Almost Heaven.....

The highest mountains of Monongahelia National Forest in West Virginia is where I am headed for the umteenth Parsons Family Reunion (mom's side). Checking back in on August 1st.

Huge Victory for the Musconetcong?

Musconetcong to be National Wild and Scenic River


CURRENT HOUSE FLOOR PROCEEDINGS
LEGISLATIVE DAY OF JULY 24, 2006
109TH CONGRESS - SECOND SESSION
2:36 P.M. -

Mr. Walden (OR) moved to suspend the rules and pass the bill, as amended.
H.R. 1307 to amend the Wild and Scenic Rivers Act to designate portions of the Musconetcong River in the State of New Jersey as a component of the National Wild and Scenic Rivers System. Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection. On motion to suspend the rules and pass the bill, as amended Agreed to by voice vote.

Mein Godt!

I simply can't resist the temptation to count the chickens before the eggs hatch, but it looks like the Musky will be included in the nation's Hall of Fame for rivers, based on it's "Outstandingly Remarkable" natural and cultural features.

All that is needed at this point is the signature of the leader of the free world who recently revealed his aptitude for foreigh policy by saying, "Russia is big and so is China." Hopefully President Bush will do the right thing and sign the Musky designation legislation into law.

The effort began in early 1990's when former Warren County Freeholder Susan Dickey and members of the Musconetcong Watershed Association began circulating a petition for a Wild and Scenic Rivers eligibility study. In 1996 the National Park Service agreed to conduct such a study and provided funding for same. That became my primary task when I came to work for the MWA, serving as its executive director until 2003.

A stellar cast of volunteers from Hopatcong to Pohatcong gathered an impressive amount of supporting evidence that the Musky is indeed one of the most outstanding remarkable rivers in not only New Jersey, but the entire region. All but one of 26 municipalities within the watershed supported the study and designation. That one exception, Pohatcong Township has also never supported the Lower Delaware designation (unfortunately, it sits at the confluence of the two rivers). The town leaders simply could not grasp the concept of the Partnership Rivers program, which is tailored to rivers that flow through primarily private lands. The NPS does not have any regulatory authority over land use decisions - the existing system of local, county and state government remains exactly the same. Similarly, the NPS has no regulatory authority over boating and fishing, which remains with the state agencies, in this case NJDEP Division of Fish and Wildlife.

What the designation will bring is funding from NPS (which must be matched) to carry out goals of the management plan. One such goal is removal of obsolete lowhead dams, an effort that is already underway. Another benefit is that the NPS must review any project that requires federal permits or involves fed funding, such as dam construction.

And, since the NJDEP has completely dropped the ball on watershed management, the Musky W&S designation provides for the continuation of a river management committee that looks at the big picture beyond municipal and county borders. Other benefits to the river and its historic communities will also come with the National Wild and Scenic designation. Details to follow.

Congratulations to the Musconetcong Watershed Association and all those people who care about one of our nation's great waterways!

A Week Well Spent

A week on the river is guaranteed to be a great experience, even if it involves guiding between 15 and 18 Girl Scouts (depending on the day's attendance) on a 35-mile sojourn during the first blistering heat wave of '06.

The 2006 Rhythms of the River Sojourn with scouts from Camp DeWitt (Rolling Hills Council of GSA) was indeed a great experience for all. These kids learned the basic tandem canoe strokes and combinations thereof. They learned not to fear but to respect the power of the river. They learned about self-rescue. They observed the flood damage, wildlife, scenic views, geological features, and historic structures. They will never look at any river the same way again.

Some of the more notable wildlife sightings included: Eastern Brown Water Snake (they were shocked), Kingfisher, Osprey (diving successfully for a fish), Caddisfly larvae (what are those green worms on our feet?), Great Blue Heron (many many sightings), Cattle Egret, Turtles, and Vultures.

Two Bald eagles greeted us at Lynn Island. I have observed a solitary Eagle at this location several times (as have a few other fellow river ratz) this summer. Now there are two. We may have a nesting pair in 2007, somewhere between the Nockamixon Cliffs and Traugers Farm Market.

Many thanks to lead canoe instructor and Sojourn Partner Linda Straus (especially for maintaining your ACA Instructor certification), Hank and Bunny Snyder of Lazy River Outpost in Phillipsburg for providing trasportation and equipment, Dee Keller of Kellers Landing for providing an outstanding river access and teaching environment for days 2 & 3, and Alicia Hanson of Camp DeWitt for helping iron out all the details.

This blog will return to the issue of Delaware River floods upon my return from Pittsburgh and the high mountains of the Monongahela National Forest in northern West Virginia. For a real-time view of this gorgeous region go here. If time allows and we actually have a wireless connection in Canaan Valley National Wildlife Refuge, I may offer up a few short posts about the Cheat River watershed.

That kind of summer...

I remember 1984 well. Not in an Orwellian sense, but that particular July was similar to what we are experiencing this summer. July 7, 1984 turned out to be the date of the 6th place record flood on the Perkiomen Creek (largest trib to the Schuylkill River). Recurring heavy summer storms over a period of two (or 3?) weeks culminated in a 4-inch-in-1-hour event that sent the Perky way out of its banks. I lived in a log cabin that was situated in the floodway. Ended up tethering the Datsun station wagon to the big ash tree. The front porch became Noah's Ark. That is a story that will be told in full sometime soon.

Meanwhile, the Tohickon Creek, shaly piedmont crick that it is, shot up from 1.48. to 2.81' over the last few hours, harbinger of things to come for more pervious watersheds. We are getting heavy rain in the lower Delaware River watershed. Looks like the Pocono region is not getting all that much right now, but that will probably change.

If the forecast is correct the larger rivers will probably not exceed flood stage, however tributaries are likely to go out of their banks.

All eyes on the NWS and flood forecasting folks.

Week on the river winds down...

Fourteen Girl Scout Cadets from Camp DeWitt are now fairly accomplished tandem canoeists. Anyone who has learned the art of tandem paddling knows that is no small feat.

Marriages have landed on the rocks from the bickering and acrimonious blame-casting that can occur when the tandem canoe hits the rocks. Usually the male part of the duo, who is invariably paddling stern will try to deflect blame when the boat goes in the wrong direction.

Our group of scouts can now perform all the basic canoe strokes plus a few that most never learn, such as the cross-dufek and low-bracing sweep.

Today we finish up with a run from Byram to Lambertville and today we will fiocus more on self-rescue, which involves in the water exercises. We will also try to outrun the predicted storms.

Next post will feature a few photos from the Camp DeWitt - Rhythms of the River Sojourn.

Then it's back to looking at the many issues surrounding the June flood, including a report on the DRBC hearing which I missed this week.

100 Degrees

That's what they predict for today.

Journal entries will be sparse for the next 2 weeks, have a 5-day canoe trip with 15 Girl Scouts from Camp DeWitt beginning this morning, leaving the weekend to catch up on the blog. Next week its off to Pittsburg and then Canaan Valley, West Virginia for the Parsons Family reunion.

Keep cool.

A Few noteworthy river trips...

I have kept a River Journal since 1992 when I came to Lambertville to work for Delaware Riverkeeper Network. Journal entries are short and cover basics such as the river segment paddled, mileage, wildlife, weather, river conditions and paddling companions. I have since logged about 2,800 miles canoeing creeks and rivers, almost all in the Delaware River watershed, with occasional forays to places like Assateague, MD, West Virginia (Cheat River), Pine Barrens, Susquehanna River, and Raritan River. Almost all the paddling is on local waterways.

So far this month I have done two noteworthy river trips. The first was last Friday (7-07) when Sherry and I accompanied Fred Stine and his son Chris (pictured above) who were on a mission to shuttle the Delaware Riverkeeper's motorboat from D&S Marina in Tullytown downriver to Penns Landing, just below Ben Franklin Bridge. The trip began in the shadow of the massive Waste Management Landfill. The marina had problems with floating piles of flotsam and trash that came down the river during the June flood. Plastic bottles, tree trunks and other floatables were swept down the non-tidal river from places like Delaware Water Gap, Easton, Belvidere, Lambertville. Much of that ends up in the tidal Delaware River, and on the Delaware Bay beaches.

From the marina we entered the main channel in the "Riverkeeper" and were treated to a 20-mile long panorama of the tidewater towns and shoreline until the Center City skyline came into view. It is such a different world from the familiar upland Delaware River that I have come to know so well. Bristol PA and Burlington NJ in particular had attractive riverfronts. The NJ shoreline in places was surprisingly natural with sandy beaches, drfitwood and dense vegetation. We bounced up and down through the wakes of several large vessels and made it to downtown Philly in less than two hours. A trip to Vietnam Palace capped an extraordinary day on the wide, wild and windy tidal Delaware River.

Yesterday I joined the Outdoor Club of South Jersey for a Delaware River run, upon the invitation of trip leaders George and Lenoa Fluck. It was my second time out with this club, the first being a several months ago on the Mullica River, it was an unusually warm day - for January. They have good turnouts for their paddling trips (14-30 paddlers), most in solo kayaks.

We did the 15-mile stretch through the heart of the Delaware River piedmont, which features the prominent geological feature know as "Devil's Tea Table." There are rock shelves across the river at the Tea Table, decent current and a few surfing spots.

This was my first trip out on the river since the June flood and I observed a great increase in erosion along river banks and the upstream ends of some islands, most notable was Hendricks Island, where one can see the bleached rocks of the scoured out upper end from a distance of 2 miles. Bulls Island State Park below the Wing Dam is even more eroded than before.

We stopped at Hendricks Is. to check out the giant piles of flotsam and trash, and found some had moved. I plan to visit again in August to develop a plan of attack for the September 16 Island Cleanup.

Bucks County River Country was festive looking and obviously ready for business with all its tubes piled up like so many lifesavers. We encountered the Hot Dog Man at the Kingwood access and stopped by his island eatery for the salty, obscenely overpriced dog w/sauerkraut (only about four bucks). I didn't feel great about patronizing this particular establishment for a number of reasons. But I did enjoy that salty dog, until the raging thirst set in a few minutes later.

The recently completed Delaware River Waterway Trail Concept Plan identified a need for a recreational user study for this stretch of river in particular, it was one of my pet recommendations. Of particular concern is the exploding livery business, mainly tubers (AKA River Potatoes), several thousand who use this part of the river on any given hot summer weekend. There are no toilet facilities available anywhere along the route used by the liveries, and we have a business providing beverages and food. One can't miss the Hot Dog Man because he places signs in the river directing traffic to his island hotdog stand. This occurs within a designated stretch of a National Wild and Scenic River.

Just how are the river potatoes responding to the inevitable call of nature?

Probably the same way I do, by discreetly anwering the call on an island or forested shore. But then I can cover that distance in a fraction of the time it takes a tuber.

For a copy of the aforementioned Water Trail plan, send me an email.

The river level was about 6.20 which made the slow sections go more quickly, but the hazards are greatly increased at the edge of the river where the trees and shrubs can flip and pin an unwary paddler. One member of the group flipped on a downed tree but did not get stuck for long.

On the other hand most of the rocks and shelves are covered and don't pose the usual hazard. But the strainers at the side of the river can be very dangerous. Fortunately the river continues to fall and is now near 5.62' at Riegelsville. I am hoping it falls to or below 5.0' by the time the Girl Scouts arrive for the week-long Rhythms of the River Sojourn, which begins July 17.

15-mile Run

Riegelsville Gauge shows the river slipping slowly down to the 6' mark for the first time since the week before the flood; and it will fall down closer to 5' by the time 15 cadets from Camp DeWitt show up at the Lazy River Outpost in Phillipsburg for their 5-day sojourn and canoe course to Lambertville.

I am joinging members of the Outdoor Club of South Jersey this morning for a 15-mile run from Frenchtown to Lambertville; my first trip on the river since the flood. We will survey Hendrick Island for a planned river cleanup on September 16.

Oh so hot! (and I'll take it)

Yes, it looks as if the low pressure system has lost its grip and the watersheds will get a break as a weak high pressure front is setting up a Bermuda High. Hi Bermuda high! I don't care how hot it gets so long as it stops raining for a few days, and that looks to be the case.

I am adding a handy link to this site that is most useful for a quick view of how much rain is falling on portions of the upper Delaware River watershed in NJ and PA (or lower watershed if you prefer). The National Weather Service Hydrology Page has all the goods - streamflow, rainfall, river reports, snow and ice build-up, drought information and various guidance documents.

Go there or be square.

Plotting a Canoe Course

ON WEDNESDAY, HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY BUT AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST WILL REMAIN NORTH OF OUR REGION.

The last phrase of that NWS weather statement says it all. The mountains may get pounded again tomorrow evening, which in turn may impact the rivers. Let's hope it's under an inch total precip.

I know this is a small river-related problem compared to what other people are going through, but I need to plan a 5-day canoe sojourn from Phillipsburg to Lamberville for 16 Girl Scouts from Hunterdon County, for next week. The river should be below 6' for this trip, and there is no way to predict the water level for Monday, especially given the above weather statement. And the water quality isn't all that great either.

Today, I will develop a contingency plan that takes the sojourn to the South Branch Raritan River and the Musconetcong River, and possibly Round Valley Reservoir, where we would do the introductory lesson. The main purpose is for the girls to have fun, but they will also be fulfilling the requirements of the American Canoe Association's "Essentials of River Canoe" course, which teaches all the primary tandem canoe paddling strokes, safety, self-rescue, river reading skills and more -- they will work hard. I will be joined by Linda Straus who is an ACA certified instructor, as I was until I let my certification expire last year (D'OH!). By the end of the trip the scouts will be accomplished river runners.

Here are numbers again for top few floods for some gauge stations along the Delaware. I will re-post this, updated with all the record floods for each station, and color-coded for what type of event (season). I will also add Port Jervis.

Belvidere: (Flood stage is 22')
6/29/06 (27.16'); 4/4/05 (27.24'); 8/19/55 (30.21')

Riegelsville: (Flood stage is 22')
6/29/06 (32.98'); 4/3/05 (34.07'); 8/20/55 (38.85')

Here are comparisons for Easton and New Hope (or Phillipsburg and Lambertville if you are in NJ)

The Easton/P-burg Bridge: (Flood stage is 22')
6/29/06 (37.09'); 4/3/05 (36.5) 8/20/1955 (43.7' )

New Hope/Lambertville Bridge (Flood stage is 13')
6/29/06 (18.13' ), 4/3/05 (19.07') 8/20/55 (24.3')

Small Spikes

Certain areas, mostly in the Poconos, received significant rain last night, enough to send a few streams up a foot. Most streams didn't register any significant change, so the storms were spotty. Pocono Creek, Brodhead Creek and the Lehigh River all came up. On the NJ side the Musconetcong River at the Bloomsbury gauge rose a foot to 2.34' (a perfect level for paddling).

The aforementioned surges in streamflow created a blip at the Belvidere gauge, and the gauge at Riegelsville showed a more substantial spike of nearly a foot and now stands at 7.63'.

This week is expected to bring scattered but heavy thunderstorms, and these will probably impact the mountainous upper watershed more than the lower Delaware. No flood watches are in effect, but there may be some small streams coming up quickly since we haven't exactly dried out yet.

Last night I was reviewing the data on record floods for several of the Delaware River stations and a few key tributaries. It is interesting that record floods for the upper Delaware don't often correspond to those on the lower Delaware. It's easy to determine the root cause of the record floods by observing the time of year. For instance there were a few record floods on the upper Delaware that were clearly icejam related events, and that did not even register as major events for the lower Delaware.

Three out of seven of the top lower Delaware floods were ice and snow melt related, the rest were hurricanes, or in the case of June '06, a tropical depression. To receive an emailed copy of the record flood PDF file, plus a bonus 9-page flood bibliography just contact me and I will send it out. Or you can wait until I figure out how to post these documents on this site, but don't hold your breath.

When it rains- confusion reigns

The Sunday edition of the Morning Call writes about the universally misunderstood and confusing term 100 Year Flood, something that is worth reading for those truly interested in learning about the topic of Delaware River floods. Hey, it beats living in denial and flailing about for a perpetrator to blame.

The topic of Delaware River floods is complex in that it involves many different factors, none so basic as the FLOOD PLAIN.

The Morning Call also has a lead story about solutions to the flooding, the only sane solution in my view.

The river is continuing to slowly fall and is now below 7' at Riegelsville. It would normally be closer to 3' this time of year.

Below Ten

The Lambertville-New Hope Free Bridge from the No Hope side of the river (Photo provided by Dave Shafer).

The river at Riegelsville has fallen nearly 5' over the past 24 hours (from 12' to about 7.20) although the gauge apparently wigged out for awhile as it showed the river surging up to 35 ft.! Did the Bald Eagle that hangs out around Lynn Is. land on the USGS Gauge's transmitter?

The Lehigh at Lehighton dropped almost 4' overnight, perhaps indicating an end to release from the FE Walter dam. The Lackawaxen is holding steady at around 2.75' indicating a continued release from the lake.

Water quality still isn't great (a visual observation) in the Delaware River but that will continue to improve as the river drops and sediment falls out. Most of the tribs I have seen are clear and running at slightly above mean.

Looks like we are expecting another round of humid weather and thunderstorms next week. The longer we dry out the less impact new precipitation will have on the waterways.

A tidal river day

I am meeting friends from Delaware Riverkeeper Network at Penns Landing in Philly, then drive to Bristol, where the kids are sharp as a pistol when they do the Bristol Stomp (yes I AM that old).

From there we take the Riverkeeper boat back down the river to Penns Landing. Looking forward to views of the NJ/PA shorelines and waterfront, bridges, towns, cities, barges. We were warned to be alert for floatables - all those trees washed down from upriver flooding.

Will be back Saturday.

More questions than answers

I want to use the comments section of the blog to discuss a question raised by a riparian resident. Sorry, my answer probably raises even more questions.

John,
Re: Reservoirs
Thanks for your very informative blog on this issue.

One issue still bothers me. It was touched on by Mayor Conway at the Delaware Water Gap - The reservoirs may not be the problem, but could they be more effective in being part of the solution? Could(or did)the reservoir managers release water in advance of the flood so as to allow the reservoirs to take in, rather than release water during the peak of the flood?

Gard


Thanks for the question Gard:

I believe the issue you raise is a good one and will surely be a point of contentious discussion at the next DRBC public hearing.

All of the record floods of the past hundred plus years fall into two categories: hurricane induced and snow melt/ice jams, except for last week. That was a slow moving tropical depression, sort of a light weight version of Agnes. The time of year may have some bearing on when or how much water to store or release.

There has been discussion about lowering reservoir levels in proportion to the expected amount of return from snow melt. This seems like a no brainer that could limit the impact of an April '05 type event.

On the other hand it takes a long time to lower the NYC reservoirs in a meaningful way, so I am not sure a program of trying to release in advance of a predicted storm would work very well in the spring when NY strives to have its reservoirs full by June.

Let's imagine a scenario where the reservoirs are near full during May and an early big storm is PREDICTED to come up and linger for awhile, and the reservoirs are lowered. And the prediction is wrong and the storm slips out into the Atlantic. Subsequently the region is afflicted by a severe drought. Two million people are running out of water. Or is it 3 million? Too lazy to look that up right now. But the point is that NYC is mightly touchy about how the water supply ponds are managed, just like the trout fishermen are, industry, and of course, the flood victims.

I don't know what the answer is really. But I know "better management" means different things to different and often competing interests. Indeed, better management can be achieved, but any changes, deletions or additions to policy must agreed upon by all four Delaware River Basin Governors and the POTUS too. That is what the basin compact requires.

I may attend the DRBC hearing on the 19th. One point I want to make is that DRBC needs to step up its efforts to educate the public about the reservoir system - not just the NYCs but all of it. But then they probably already know that. The ability of DRBC to do science and education has been compromised by certain entities who have reneged on their agreement to keep DRBC fully functioning (POTUS and Pataki). How ironic! NY takes water from the Delaware, ships over to the Hudson at NYC and they won't even pay their dues. Compassionate conservativism indeed.

There is so much misinformation floating around (hope i am not contributing to it), much of it the result of general ignorance about the how the system functions. Look at what is going on with the Special Protection Waters issue between PA and NJ. And that is a very simple issue compared to floods.

Regarding education about the reservoir system, one thing about the Pocono Record article that made me wonder was the DRBC guy's use of the word "release." My understanding is that the reservoirs were over-spilling, quite a different thing from an intentional release.

Sorry for this semi-rambling answer, but as you know, these watershed issues are interelated.

One more question before retiring to the grill:


I've been following your articles about the Delaware. You're the only source of information that I've found who updates daily. I enjoy reading your stories. My family and I spend a lot of time on the river and the Rancocas Creek. I'm e-mailing you to ask if you know where I can find regularly updated information on water quality. Since the flood, I've seen people in the water, but I want to know if the water is safe before we decide to go back in. Any information would be greatly appreciated.

Mike.

Thanks Mike.... I know that water quality in the Lower Delaware is very poor right now, maybe like one of those rivers in China. It will eventually clear up, but it will take several days if not weeks. I would ask Delaware Riverkeeper Network if they have a water quality monitor down on the Rancocas. Ask for Faith Zerbe.

Barometer Falling

THIS JUST IN:
The Delaware River Basin Commission public hearing scheduled for July 19 was to take up the issue of banking excess release quantities of water in the NYC reservoirs, but I have just learned that this is off the table, mainly because New Jersey never signed on tothe agreement (which requires all parties) and the drought warnings were lifted. DRBC will have something posted to that effect very shortly.

Now back to our regular programming.

Three relatively cool dry days in store before we return to hot and humid conditions on Sunday and all next week; no major storm events on the horizon.

I check both the National Weather Service (or Weather Channel) and AccuWeather every morning and evening, and I've found AccuWeather is slightly more accurate when it comes to predicting precipitation amounts. They use the same satellite data, but apparently use different modeling technique. When there is the threat of flooding, I go with whoever has predicted the highest rainfall amount.

As it appears the river and its tributaries will be falling back to near normal levels, attention will be turned to flood related topics, none more important than investigating the causes of the June 29 Flood. By far the most popular theory among the single-minded set is: The reservoirs did it. Or more accurately, the people who control the reservoirs did it to US. Some people are specifically referring to the three large NYC Water Supply Reservoirs. The rest don't have a clue, they just like simple explanations, and the reservoir scapegoat is the easiest to grasp, and also will be the easiest to debunk, unless of course it turns out to be true.

And it won't in this case. The raw data can be found here. A debunking viewpoint can be found in today's issue of the Pocono Record that claims the reservoirs help control flooding.

The development-caused-it single explanation is also lame, but since this flood was the result of so much rain in the Poconos, this needs to be looked at. The filling of wetlands is a major source of flooding in general, and this problem impacts the Poconos and its tributaries to the Delaware more than any other region in the 13,000 sq. mi. Delaware River Basin. That is because the Poconos are glaciated, and covered with water (streams, lakes, ponds, marshes, bogs etc.). Those nasty Nationwide 26 Permits the Army Corps gives out to developers may be significant part of the flood problem, both locally and furter downstream in the Lehigh and Lackawaxen Rivers.

Here is a story about the Nationwide Permit program and its impacts on Monroe County (in the heart of the Poconos). Ed Perry of US Fish & Wildlife Service is an expert in this area and does one hell of a presentation about how building in wetlands exacerbates flooding.

I believe all the single-reason explanations are BS. But it will take some research to make my own case. In the meantime there are many other more important issues, like how many property owners in the most vulnerable areas of the floodplain will pack it in, and how much money is available for buy-outs?

Regardless of what one thinks about the flooding and its causes, we wouldn't be having any of these discussions if so many didn't live on the river's turf (AKA the floodplain). The Delaware River will continue to rise up to reclaim its turf regardless of whatever manipulations are made to the system. Some municipalities, like the Borough of Riegelsville, PA are getting wise and forbidding development in the floodplain. Most municipalities along the river have pathetically weak floodplain regulations.

There are already many homes along the Lower Delaware River that have been for sale since April '05. Who would buy one now? How many more will be on the market? Such discussions are already underway in Bucks County.

Looking forward to sunny skies

As I have said, this blog will stick to river issues. July 4 was an exception, special day that is was. But I do appreciate the comments -- no other post generated so many -- maybe I should consider more....nah! I will leave Senor Arbusto alone for awhile.

The scant political comment that appears here in the future will be limited to that which is directly related to the river. Of course that will inevitabley include commentary and news about politicians of a certain political persuasion whose antics are all about making life easier for the greedy bass turds, at the expense of the rest of us who want to have clean air and water, healthy wetlands and all the rest.

There has been a slight upturn on the Riegelsville gauge, which appears to correspond to the temporary rise on the Lehigh River at Bethlehem.

Oh how we all long for a string of sunny days. If anyone is interested in paddling a stretch of the Musconetcong let me know - probably tomorrow afternoon.

I also plan to paddle the Delaware between Frenchtown and Lamberville to survey flood damage and trash deposits when the river falls below 10'.

Dark Sky

More rain is forecast for today and tonight with clearing skies and lower humidity for a few days to follow, and I will believe that when I see it.

Stream gauges around the Delaware River Basin have flatlined, probably due to the rain, but as of yet none are heading back up. Riegelsville gauge is around 12.29' and only a few inches lower than July 4.

The plan for today was to lead about 20 Girl Scouts (Juniors) down a short stretch of the Delaware in rafts. Juniors are ages 8-10 and just too small to handle one of those 80 pound livery canoes. Third week of July I have a week long trip scheduled with 14 Cadet scouts (14-16 yr. olds). This runs from Phillipsburg to Lambertville. My guess is that the river will not come back to a safe level by then (below 5 or 6 feet) and even if it does there may be a problem with accesses. Time to develop a contingency plan that allows the program to continue using the South Branch or Musconetcong, Round Valley Reservoir and perhaps the D&R Canal. Or perhaps cancel the entire affair.

Happy Independence Day?

Even as the storm clouds gather, there is reason to be optimistic, for the river is receding steadily and is near 12.50' at Riegelsville, or ten feet below flood stage.

As to celebrating our freedoms, this should be a sobering July 4, because the same people who claim to have liberated and brought freedom to the Iraqi people have worked tirelessly to erode our own freedoms as codified in the US Constitution.

But hey you say! This is a river blog. Well those same people have been working to undermine the laws that protect river systems. So let's hear it for freedom from: oil and oily politicians.

Tomorrow I will begin writing about the BLAME GAME that is already up and running. I have had more than a few conversations with folks who are fixated on their favorite reason that the river flooded. My response? ARRRRRGGGGGGHHHH!

Here are a few quotes to celebrate the declaration of independence from...King George. No, not that idiot. I mean King George of 230 years ago.

-- "A dictatorship would be a heck of a lot easier, there's no question about it, " Bush was quoted in the July 30, 2001, issue of Business Week.

-- "See, in my line of work you got to keep repeating things over and over and over again for the truth to sink in, to kind of catapult the propaganda."
George W. Bush May 25, 2005

-- Anyone who has the power to make you believe absurdities has the power to make you commit injustices.
Voltaire

-- “We will, in fact, be greeted as liberators.…I think it will go relatively quickly… weeks rather than months.”-- Vice President Cheney, 3/16/03

-- The people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders . . . All you have to do is to tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism."
-- Hermann Goerting, Nazi

-- You can't wage war on terrorists without becoming a terrorist yourself. Terrorism is the war of the poor, and war is the terrorism of the rich. Besides that, there is no difference.
-- Peter Ustinov

-- "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
-- George Orwell

-- "To announce that there must be no criticism of the president, or that we are to stand by the president right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public."
-- Theodore Roosevelt

-- "He who hears the rippling of rivers in these degenerate days will not utterly despair."
-- Henry David Thoreau

-- "The vast majority of our imports come from outside the country."
George W. Bush

Falling River Levels

Wally Jenness of Holland Township sent the above pic of the Frenchtown post office (left background). This section of town was flooded by the backed up tributary, a scenario that occurs in many river towns.

A visit to the main gauges around the Delaware River Basin indicates that the storms that swept through the region yesterday afternoon had no impact on stream flow. Speaking of rain, go to the Delaware River Basin Summary of June 2006 Flooding page and click on "View National Weather Service Precipitation Maps." The first map colorfully tells the story of the origins of this flood.

The river at Riegelsville continues to fall and is now around 14.66' or about 7 feet below flood stage. A chance of thunderstorms exists today and Tuesday, with showers for Wednesday as a REAL cold front moves in bringing what just may be an extended dry period. That would give enough time for the river and its tribs to fall to more normal levels.

Yesterday we visited Stockton, NJ and found conditions there are similar to April '05. The most vulnerable properties in the flood plain were hit again (Mill Street and Brookville). Today we are heading upriver to visit friends along Cooks Creek, a sweet tributary that joins the Delaware River just below Riegelsville.

Saturated ground and the danger zone

What makes this summer so unusual is we are not experiencing another drought, although we were under a drought warning until a few days ago. The baseflow of streams and groundwater has recharged and the ground is saturated, conditions that are unusual for this time of year, and that could produce a reoccurrance of flooding in smaller streams with just a few inches of rain.

Several more rainfree days are needed to get past this vulnerable position. Even the big rivers could flood again with a moderate rain event. The Delaware River at Riegelsville is almost flatlining at around 16.60' after its initial quick drop. Larger tribs like the Lehigh are going down steadily, albeit slowly. Small tribs are approaching normal levels.

And the bad news is that the National Weather Service has issued a severe weather alert with a prediction of potential thunderstorms though July 4th; some may be severe with heavy downpours.

This will need to be closely watched.

Preliminary data from DRBC

The Delaware River Basin Commission has posted its "Summary of June 2006 Precipitation Leading Up to Flooding." Now there's a long title. It shows what this blog has been discussing over the past several days - up to 15 inches in the Poconos, headwaters of the Lehigh River, Schuylkill River and Upper Delaware; around 5 inches in the Piedmont watersheds.

They also have a PDF of "Preliminary Crest Heights." Just click on the highlighted text for a speedy trip to those pages.

My last post expressed amazement that the river at Riegelsville has already fallen to 15' yesterday. That is because it was also not true, the gauge was on the fritz. Today it is still reading just over 18'.

The news media has covered this event much more intensly than the prior recent floods. The helicopter traffic yesterday and especially Thursday was incredible. Just before prime time news hour the birds descended on Lambertville-New Hope for their aerial shots. Crews initially reported from Lambertville shore because it was so much easier to access, but yesterday shifted to New Hope.

I will be doing a paddle trip on the river just as soon as it falls below 12 ft. and the bacteria levels fall and gasoline and diesel vapors dissipate.