Tuesday, August 15, 2006

2006 Hurricane prediction revised

2006 was predicted to be as bad or worse than 2005, which brought three major hurricanes to the mainland US. Tropical storm forecasters have pointed out that over the past 20 years 85% of the hurricanes have occured between mid-August and mid-October.

From the Weather Channel:
"The National Hurricane Center has lowered its forecast of how many hurricanes are expected to develop during the 2006 season. This updated outlook calls for a seasonal total of 12-15 named storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes, and three to four becoming major hurricanes."

Each year has its own rhythm, all we can do is wait and see what the heart of the hurricane season brings. No one can predict where the 3 or 4 hurricanes will strike, if they even materialize.

The river is as low as it's been for over a year (just under 3.5' at the Riegelsville gauge) and August is turning out to be an extremely dry month. At this point in time the watersheds would likely be able to absorb a quickly moving tropical storm or hurricane.

An announcement and call for volunteers for the Setember 16 & 23rd river cleanups is imminent. Check this journal in a few days.

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